Description

• Title:
  Estimating urban growth on Mersin, Tarsus and Adana corridor in Türki̇ye by using Cellular Automata and Markov Chain
• Creator:
  Yildiz Gorentas, Selin;
  Sargin, Sevil
• Contributor:
  Yildiz Gorentas, Selin - Kilis 7 Aralik University, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, Department of Geography, Central Campus;
  Sargin, Sevil - Marmara University, Faculty of Humanities and Social Sciences, Department of Geography, Goztepe Campus;
  Yildiz Gorentas, Selin - syildiz@kilis.edu.tr;
  Sargin, Sevil - sevil.sargin@marmara.edu.tr
• Description:
  In many developing countries, urban growth is often unplanned and haphazard, leading to significant threats to the sustainable use of urban land. This study predicts future urban expansion patterns in the Mersin, Tarsus and Adana corridor in Türkiye using Cellular Automata and Markov Chain models. Analysing Landsat satellite images from 1989 to 2019, we simulated land use changes for 2019, 2031, and 2049. The results indicate a projected increase in urban areas from 3.8% in 2019 to 7.4% by 2049, with significant expansion onto fertile agricultural areas. This unregulated growth highlights the urgent need for a well-planned governance approach that balances economic, social, and environmental factors to ensure resilient and sustainable urban development.
• Object availability:
  free access
• Rights: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0
• Date:
  2025.03.21;
  2024.12.09
• Type:
  Article
• Language:
  English
• Format:
  application/pdf
• Publisher:
  Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego
• Relation:
  European Spatial Research and Policy;2;
  31
• Subject:
  urban growth simulation;
  CA_Markov model;
  land cover/use;
  Türkiye
• Identifier:
  1231-1952;
  http://hdl.handle.net/11089/55064 ;
  1896-1525;
  10.18778/1231-1952.31.2.03
• Data provider:
  Repozytorium Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego
• Can I use it?:
  check license
• Type:
  image