Description

• Title:
  Personal Finances vs. the Overall Economic Conditions: What Drives the New EU Member States’ Stock Markets?
• Creator:
  Lolić, Ivana;
  Sorić, Petar;
  Čižmešija, Mirjana
• Contributor:
  Lolić, Ivana - Teaching and Research Assistant, University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business Zagreb, Croatia;
  Sorić, Petar - Ph.D. Assistant Professor, University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business Zagreb, Croatia;
  Čižmešija, Mirjana - Ph.D. Professor, University of Zagreb, Faculty of Economics and Business Zagreb, Croatia;
  Sorić, Petar - psoric@efzg.hr;
  Čižmešija, Mirjana - mcizmesija@efzg.hr
• Description:
  This paper analyses the leading characteristics of the Consumer Confidence Index (CCI) with respect to stock market returns for 11 New EU Member States. It proposes novel CCI weights by minimizing mean squared errors from regression forecasting equations, using CCI lags as regressors. With regards to the obtained “optimal” weights, the examined countries are grouped into micro‑ and macro‑oriented clusters. A strong shift is found in the weights due to the recent recession. The micro aspects (reflecting the wealth effect) severely lose their importance in the crisis, while the consumers’ macroeconomic sentiments grow in significance and constitute a separate transmission channel.
• Object availability:
  free access
• Rights:
  This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives 4.0 License.;
  http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0
• Date:
  2018.03.05;
  2017.12.29
• Format:
  application/pdf
• Publisher:
  Wydawnictwo Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego
• Relation:
  Comparative Economic Research;20
• Subject:
  consumer confidence;
  business and consumer surveys;
  stock market;
  numerical optimization
• Identifier:
  1508-2008;
  http://hdl.handle.net/11089/24207 ;
  10.1515/cer-2017-0031
• Data provider:
  Repozytorium Uniwersytetu Łódzkiego
• Can I use it?:
  check license
• Type:
  other